State climate officials warn that Oregon’s first severe heatwave of the summer could break historical records. Starting Thursday, the heat is predicted to accelerate, with several regions possibly experiencing temperatures exceeding 100 degrees. These unusually high temperatures reflect a multiyear warming trend in Oregon, sparking health concerns and increased risks of wildfires.
Increased heat levels are not a new concern for Oregonians. Large swathes of the state, including Medford, Portland, and Central Oregon, are bracing for an excessive heat watch before the Fourth of July weekend. Forecasts predict that the Medford region could witness above 110 degrees on Friday and Saturday, a potential historic high for this period.
Contrary to common beliefs, 100-degree weather is not a regular summer occurrence. Over the past four years, Oregon summers have warmed dramatically, with extreme heatwaves like the upcoming one becoming more frequent and intense. Since the 1930s, locations such as Eugene and Portland have experienced triple-digit temperatures approximately 100 times, equating to around once a year. However, the frequency of these sweltering days has increased due to climate change, particularly in the last four years. For example, since 2020, Eugene has had 14 days above 100 degrees, and Portland has seen 16 such days.
Heatwaves that persist several days at temperatures over 100 degrees can exacerbate heat-related illnesses like heat exhaustion or heat stroke. A study by the Oregon Department of Energy indicated that multiple vulnerable demographics including those living in mobile homes, publicly-supported housing, and employer-provided agricultural workforce housing, lack sufficient cooling equipment. Tragically, in 2021, a severe heat dome resulted in nearly 100 deaths from heat-related illnesses in Oregon, most in Multnomah County, with many victims alone and without air conditioning.
Following 2021’s heat dome crisis, the state and cities like Portland implemented incentive programs to help residents install heat pumps in their homes. The state also aims to install 500,000 heat pumps across Oregon by 2030. Furthermore, the Oregon Heath Authority revealed that it has delivered 412 air conditioners to eligible Oregon Health Plan members so far this year, along with other devices like air filtration systems and portable power supplies, to adapt to climate change.
The extreme heat and warmer-than-normal weather potentially set the stage for a more active wildfire season. High evaporation rates in early season heatwaves can dry out soil quickly, eliminating any advantages from spring precipitation. The resulting drier than normal conditions for the rest of the summer could lead to increased wildfire risks as the region is unlikely to receive significant rain at this stage.
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